Model Center · Quick-Start Guide
Prescient AI
/ Model Center · Quick-start guide 2–3 min read
Model Center

See the models behind every Prescient result

Model Center gives you a clear view of the Marketing Mix Models powering attribution and forecasting — so you can monitor accuracy, compare modeled and observed performance, and confirm which configuration is active.

Example · Model Center overview
Active Models i
5
Active Configs i
8
Avg Accuracy i
88.2
Total Revenue i
$41.2M
Total Modeled i
$42.0M
Spend i
$4.5M
Overall ROAS i
9.14x

What you'll find here

An overview of your modeling environment, then a detail view per model.
1
Overview summary
Active models, configs, average accuracy, results, spend and ROAS.
2
Model cards
One card per business outcome — store, retailer or marketplace.
3
Model Health
Modeled vs observed fit, plus non-trained forecast accuracy.
4
Attribution
How the model distributes incremental performance across media.
5
Compare configs
Weigh a model’s configurations side by side to pick the best.

When to use this page

Come here to build confidence in the numbers before you act on them.
Monitor model accuracy
Check how closely each model tracks observed performance over time.
Compare modeled vs observed
See where the model matches reality — and where it diverges.
Review configurations
Explore the different configurations behind each model.
Confirm what's active
Verify which configuration is powering attribution and forecasts.

How it works

From the overview into a single model's details.
1

Set the outcome and period

Use the two menus at the top of the page to pick the modeled outcome and the reporting window. Everything — the overview and each card — updates to match.

Example · Filters
Revenue Last 365 Days
2

Scan the overview

Start with the summary strip above. It shows how many models and configurations are active, average accuracy, and totals for revenue, spend and ROAS — a quick health read before you dig in.

Check Avg Accuracy and Overall ROAS in the overview above.
3

Open a model card

Each card is one business outcome. It shows the accuracy score, modeled vs observed revenue, and a fit chart — observed as a solid line, modeled dashed. The shaded tail is the forecast/holdout window. Click a card to open its details.

Example · Model cards
Amazon Selling Partner E-Commerce Config
90.1
Model Accuracy i
Modeled Revenue
$10.2M
Observed Revenue
$10.1M
Jul 2025Jan 2026Jun 2026
Inputs
Spend $4.5MChannels 10
Granularity: DailyUpdates: DailyModeled through: Jun 16, 2026
Shopify E-Commerce Configs (3)
83.6
Model Accuracy i
Modeled Revenue
$15.8M
Observed Revenue
$15.1M
Jul 2025Jan 2026Jul 2026
Inputs
Spend $4.5MChannels 10
Granularity: DailyUpdates: DailyModeled through: Jun 16, 2026
4

Check Model Health

Inside a model, the Health tab plots modeled against observed. The metrics on the right — in amber — test the non-trained period: data the model never saw. The shaded Holdout region on the chart is that test window. Switch to Decomposed to split media from seasonality and trend.

Example · Model details — TikTok Shop
TikTok Shop E-Commerce Configs (2) Default Completed
Model HealthAttribution
95.9
Model Accuracy i
Modeled Revenue
$26.4M
Observed Revenue
$26.6M
Non-trained Accuracy i
91.4
Non-trained Forecast vs Observed
$2.1M vs $2.4M
CombinedDecomposed
ObservedModeled▓ Holdout
Aug 6Oct 16Dec 23Feb 13Apr 22Jul 3
5

Compare configurations

A model can hold several configurations. The Model Selection Criteria compares them across key metrics — model fit, ROAS expectedness, outliers and bounds — and summarizes each as a Preference Score. The best model is a balanced fit, not just the highest single number.

Example · Model Selection Criteria
Model Selection Criteria
Compare model performance across key metrics to select the best fit for your MMM analysis.
Recommended
Model A
Ulta Retail — Default
100
Preference Score
Last run Jul 29, 2026
Model B
Ulta Retail — direct_mail_weibull
75
Preference Score
Last run Jul 29, 2026
Model A PreferredThe default model is favored because its R-MMM fit score is higher.

Two ideas worth knowing

These shape how you should read what's on the page.
Accuracy isn't everything

Model accuracy measures how well modeled results align with observed history. It matters — but a high score alone doesn't guarantee every channel result is right. Weigh it with non-trained fit, stability and business context.

Non-trained forecast

The non-trained (holdout) period holds back recent data the model never learned from, then checks its predictions against it. Strong non-trained performance is the best signal a model will forecast well going forward.

Tips

How to read models with a critical eye.

Read accuracy and non-trained fit together — never accuracy alone.

Sanity-check the Attribution tab before trusting a config downstream.

Use Decomposed view to separate media from seasonality and trend.

Watch the Holdout window — that's the model's real forecast test.

Confirm the Active configuration before quoting a model's results.

Pick the config that's reliable and realistic — not the highest score.

Prescient AI · Model Center quick-start guide